Manufacturing Growth Continues in 2014
Revenue to Increase 5.3%Capital Investment to Increase 10.3%Capacity Utilization Currently at 82.3%
Revenue to Increase 5.3%Capital Investment to Increase 10.3%Capacity Utilization Currently at 82.3%
Non-Manufacturing Growth Also Continues in 2014Revenue to Increase 2.7%Capital Investment to Increase 10.8%Capacity Utilization Currently at 86.3%
TEMPE, Ariz., May 6, 2014 -- Economic growth is expected to continue in the United States
throughout the remainder of 2014, say the nation's purchasing and
supply executives in their Spring 2014 Semiannual Economic Forecast. Expectations for the remainder of 2014 continue to be positive in both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors.
These projections are part of the forecast issued by the Business Survey Committee of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®). The forecast was presented today by Bradley J. Holcomb, CPSM, CPSD, chair of the ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee; and by Anthony S. Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., CFPM, chair of the ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee.
Manufacturing Summary
Sixty-eight
percent of respondents from the panel of manufacturing supply
management executives predict their revenues will be 9.1 percent greater
in 2014 compared to 2013, nine percent expect a 9.6 percent decline,
and 23 percent foresee no change. This yields an overall average
expectation of 5.3 percent revenue growth among manufacturers in 2014,
which is a notable increase of 0.9 percentage point from December 2013
when the panel predicted a 4.4 percent increase in 2014 revenues. With
operating capacity at 82.3 percent, an expected capital expenditure
increase of 10.3 percent, prices paid expected to increase a modest 0.2
percentage point from now through the end of 2014, and employment
expected to grow 1.5 percent for the balance of 2014, manufacturers are
positioned to grow revenues while containing costs through the remainder
of the year. "With all 18 industries within the manufacturing sector
predicting growth in 2014 when compared to 2013, U.S. manufacturing
continues to demonstrate its broad-based strength, efficiency and
leadership in the world economy," said Holcomb.
The
18 industries reporting expectations of growth in revenue for 2014 —
listed in order — are: Textile Mills; Printing & Related Support
Activities; Furniture & Related Products; Food, Beverage &
Tobacco Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Transportation Equipment;
Plastics & Rubber Products; Paper Products; Miscellaneous
Manufacturing; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Chemical Products; Computer
& Electronic Products; Primary Metals; Petroleum & Coal
Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Wood
Products; Machinery; and Apparel, Leather & Allied Products.
Non-Manufacturing Summary
Fifty-one
percent of non-manufacturing purchasing and supply executives expect
their 2014 revenues to be greater by 6.7 percent than in 2013. Overall,
respondents currently expect a 2.7 percent net increase in overall
revenues, which is less than the 3.6 percent increase that was forecast
in December 2013. "Non-manufacturing will
continue to grow for the balance of 2014. Non-manufacturing companies
continue to operate very efficiently as reflected by the high percentage
of capacity utilization. Despite the volatility in energy and fuel
costs, supply managers have indicated that overall costs have not been
substantially impacted. The relatively flat rate of growth for overall
employment is a potential impediment; however, with 17 out of 18
industries forecasting increased revenues, the non-manufacturing sector
will continue on the path of steady economic growth," Nieves said.
The
17 non-manufacturing industries expecting increases in revenue in 2014 —
listed in order — are: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting;
Transportation & Warehousing; Construction; Mining; Wholesale Trade;
Retail Trade; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Utilities; Public
Administration; Finance & Insurance; Accommodation & Food
Services; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Management
of Companies & Support Services; Information; Real Estate, Rental
& Leasing; Educational Services; and Other Services.
OPERATING RATE
Manufacturing
Purchasing
and supply managers report that their companies are currently operating
at 82.3 percent of normal capacity, representing an increase from the
80.3 percent reported in December 2013, as well as an increase from the 80.2 percent reported in April 2013.
The nine industries reporting operating capacity levels at or above the
average capacity of 82.3 percent — listed in order — are: Apparel,
Leather & Allied Products; Paper Products; Primary Metals; Wood
Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Fabricated Metal Products;
Plastics & Rubber Products; Transportation Equipment; and Food,
Beverage & Tobacco Products.
Non-Manufacturing
Non-manufacturing
purchasing and supply executives report that their organizations are
currently operating at 86.3 percent of normal capacity. This is the same
percentage that was reported in December 2013 and more than the 84.7 percent reported in April 2013.
The following 10 industries operating at capacity levels above the
average rate of 86.3 percent — listed in order — are: Information; Other
Services; Public Administration; Mining; Transportation &
Warehousing; Utilities; Educational Services; Real Estate, Rental &
Leasing; Finance & Insurance; and Accommodation & Food Services.
Operating Rate
| ||||||
Manufacturing
|
Non-Manufacturing
| |||||
April
2013
|
Dec
2013
|
April
2014
|
April
2013
|
Dec
2013
|
April
2014
| |
90%+
|
32%
|
34%
|
42%
|
49%
|
53%
|
57%
|
50%-89%
|
63%
|
63%
|
54%
|
48%
|
47%
|
41%
|
Below 50%
|
5%
|
3%
|
4%
|
3%
|
0%
|
2%
|
Est. Overall Average
|
80.2%
|
80.3%
|
82.3%
|
84.7%
|
86.3%
|
86.3%
|
PRODUCTION CAPACITY
Manufacturing
Production
capacity in manufacturing is expected to increase 4.8 percent in 2014.
This increase is considerably less than the 6.3 percent increase
predicted in December 2013 for 2014, and
also less than the 5.2 percent increase reported in December for 2013.
This nevertheless reflects the continuing strength in the sector as 44
percent of respondents expect an average capacity increase of 12.7
percent, 8 percent expect decreases averaging 11 percent, and 48 percent
expect no change. The 16 industries expecting production capacity
increases for 2014 — listed in order — are: Furniture & Related
Products; Textile Mills; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products;
Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Wood Products; Fabricated Metal Products;
Computer & Electronic Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing;
Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Machinery; Transportation
Equipment; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Primary
Metals; Chemical Products; Paper Products; and Petroleum & Coal
Products.
Manufacturing Production Capacity
| ||||||
For 2013
|
For 2014
|
For 2014
| ||||
Reported
Dec 2013
|
Magnitude of Change
|
Predicted Dec 2013
|
Magnitude of Change
|
Predicted
April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
| |
Higher
|
42%
|
+15.9%
|
46%
|
+15.6%
|
44%
|
+12.7%
|
Same
|
44%
|
NA
|
46%
|
NA
|
48%
|
NA
|
Lower
|
14%
|
-11.1%
|
8%
|
-9.2%
|
8%
|
-11.0%
|
Net Average
|
+5.2%
|
+6.3%
|
+4.8%
| |||
Non-Manufacturing
The
capacity to produce products or provide services in the
non-manufacturing sector is expected to increase 3.1 percent during
2014. This compares to an increase of 2.3 percent reported for 2013 and a
prediction in December 2013 for an
increase of 1.9 percent for 2014. For 2014, 32 percent of
non-manufacturing respondents expect their capacity to increase by an
average of 10.9 percent, and 2 percent of the respondents foresee their
capacity decreasing by an average of 12.5 percent. Sixty-six percent
expect no change in their capacity. The 14 industries expecting to add
to their production capacity in 2014 — listed in order — are: Wholesale
Trade; Public Administration; Other Services; Real Estate, Rental &
Leasing; Mining; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services;
Finance & Insurance; Management of Companies & Support Services;
Construction; Transportation & Warehousing; Health Care &
Social Assistance; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Retail
Trade; and Accommodation & Food Services.
Non-Manufacturing Production or Provision Capacity
| ||||||
For 2013
|
For 2013
|
For 2014
| ||||
Reported
Dec 2013
|
Magnitude of Change
|
Predicted
Dec 2013
|
Magnitude of Change
|
Predicted
April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
| |
Higher
|
32%
|
+8.8%
|
33%
|
+7.8%
|
32%
|
+10.9%
|
Same
|
62%
|
NA
|
62%
|
NA
|
66%
|
N/A
|
Lower
|
6%
|
-8%
|
5%
|
-14.8%
|
2%
|
-12.5%
|
Net Average
|
+2.3%
|
+1.9%
|
+3.1
| |||
PREDICTED CAPITAL EXPENDITURES — 2014 vs. 2013
Manufacturing
Survey respondents expect a 10.3 percent increase in capital expenditures in 2014. This is greater than the December 2013 forecast when the panel predicted an increase of 8 percent for 2014. Currently, 37 percent of respondents predict increased capital expenditures in 2014, with an average increase of 38.6 percent and the 15 percent who said their capital spending would decrease expect an average decrease of 26.9 percent. Forty-eight percent say they will spend the same in 2014 as they did in 2013. The 14 industries expecting increases in capital expenditures in 2014 compared to 2013 — listed in order — are: Paper Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Furniture & Related Products; Textile Mills; Transportation Equipment; Machinery; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Chemical Products; Primary Metals; Printing & Related Support Activities; and Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components.
Non-Manufacturing
Non-manufacturing purchasing and supply executives are expecting to increase their level of capital expenditures 10.8 percent in 2014 compared to 2013. The 36 percent of members expecting to spend more predict an average increase of 37.1 percent. Fourteen percent of respondents anticipate a decrease averaging 19.3 percent. Fifty percent of the respondents expect to spend the same on capital expenditures in 2014 as in 2013. The 14 industries expecting an increase in capital expenditures in 2014 from 2013 — listed in order — are: Retail Trade; Public Administration; Accommodation & Food Services; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Educational Services; Transportation & Warehousing; Utilities; Wholesale Trade; Information; Health Care & Social Assistance; Construction; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; and Finance & Insurance.
Predicted Capital Expenditures 2014 vs. 2013
| ||||||
Manufacturing
|
Non-Manufacturing
| |||||
Predicted Dec 2013
|
Predicted April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
|
Predicted Dec 2013
|
Predicted April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
| |
Higher
|
42%
|
37%
|
+38.6%
|
37%
|
36%
|
+37.1%
|
Same
|
42%
|
48%
|
NA
|
45%
|
50%
|
NA
|
Lower
|
16%
|
15%
|
-26.9%
|
18%
|
14%
|
-19.3%
|
Net Average
|
+8.0%
|
+10.3%
|
+4.6%
|
+10.8%
| ||
PRICES — Changes Between End of 2013 and April 2014
Manufacturing
In the December 2013 forecast, respondents predicted an increase of 1.2 percent in prices paid during the first four months of 2014; and they now report prices have increased 1.3 percent for the period. The 43 percent who say their prices are higher now than at the end of 2013 report an average increase of 4.4 percent, while the 17 percent who report lower prices report an average decrease of 3.8 percent. The remaining 40 percent indicate no change for the period. Of the 18 manufacturing industries, 10 reported increases in prices paid for the first part of 2014 in the following order: Wood Products; Textile Mills; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Furniture & Related Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Machinery; Chemical Products; Transportation Equipment; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; and Petroleum & Coal Products.
Non-Manufacturing
Non-Manufacturing
respondents report that their purchases in the first four months of
this year cost an average of 1.6 percent more than they cost at the end
of 2013. This is 0.2 percentage point lower than the 1.8 percent
increase predicted in December 2013 for
2014. Fifty-five percent of the non-manufacturing respondents report the
prices they paid increased an average of 3.6 percent in the first part
of 2014. Seven percent report price decreases averaging 5.1 percent. The
remaining 38 percent indicate no change in prices paid in the first
four months of 2014. The 16 industries reporting an increase in prices
paid in the first part of 2013 — listed in order — are: Agriculture,
Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation;
Wholesale Trade; Mining; Public Administration; Construction;
Educational Services; Utilities; Health Care & Social Assistance;
Transportation & Warehousing; Accommodation & Food Services;
Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Retail Trade; Other
Services; Management of Companies & Support Services; and Finance
& Insurance.
Prices – Changes Between End of 2013 and April 2014
| ||||||
Manufacturing
|
Non-Manufacturing
| |||||
Predicted Dec 2013
|
Reported April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
|
Predicted Dec 2013
|
Reported April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
| |
Higher
|
49%
|
43%
|
+4.4%
|
59%
|
55%
|
+3.6%
|
Same
|
30%
|
40%
|
NA
|
29%
|
38%
|
NA
|
Lower
|
21%
|
17%
|
-3.8%
|
12%
|
7%
|
-5.1%
|
Net Average
|
+1.2%
|
+1.3%
|
+1.8%
|
+1.6%
| ||
PRICES — Predicted Changes Between End of 2013 and End of 2014
Manufacturing
When asked to predict 2014 price changes, 48 percent of respondents expect the prices they pay to increase by 4.7 percent for the full year of 2014 compared to the end of 2013. At the same time, 19 percent anticipate decreases averaging 3.7 percent. Including the 33 percent who expect no change in prices, survey respondents expect net average prices to increase 1.5 percent for the entire year of 2014, indicating that prices are expected to rise an additional 0.2 percentage point for the remainder of the year. Out of 18 manufacturing industries, 15 are predicting increases in prices for all of 2014 in the following order: Wood Products; Textile Mills; Furniture & Related Products; Printing & Related Support Activities; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Chemical Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Transportation Equipment; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Machinery; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; and Primary Metals.
Non-Manufacturing
For 2014, non-manufacturing respondents expect the prices they pay to increase 2.2 percentage points when compared to the prices at the end of 2013. Given that respondents have reported that prices have increased 1.6 percent through April 2014, the prediction is for prices to increase an additional 0.6 percentage point over the remainder of the year. Sixty-one percent of the respondents anticipate price increases averaging 4.1 percent. Four percent of the respondents expect price decreases of 6.3 percent, and 35 percent do not expect prices to change. The 16 industries expecting price increases in 2014 — listed in order — are: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Construction; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Transportation & Warehousing; Public Administration; Utilities; Retail Trade; Mining; Wholesale Trade; Health Care & Social Assistance; Accommodation & Food Services; Educational Services; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Finance & Insurance; Other Services; and Management of Companies & Support Services.
Prices – Predicted Changes Between End of 2013 and End of 2014
| ||||||
Manufacturing
|
Non-Manufacturing
| |||||
Predicted Dec 2013
|
Predicted April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
|
Predicted Dec 2013
|
Predicted April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
| |
Higher
|
58%
|
48%
|
+4.7%
|
63%
|
61%
|
+4.1%
|
Same
|
20%
|
33%
|
NA
|
24%
|
35%
|
NA
|
Lower
|
22%
|
19%
|
-3.7%
|
13%
|
4%
|
-6.3%
|
Net Average
|
1.6%
|
+1.5%
|
1.9%
|
+2.2%
| ||
EMPLOYMENT
Change in Overall Employment – Balance 2014
Manufacturing
ISM's Manufacturing Business Survey respondents forecast that manufacturing employment will increase 1.5 percent during the balance of 2014, with 38 percent expecting employment to be 6.6 percent higher. Fifteen percent of respondents predict employment to be lower by 6.6 percent. The remaining 47 percent of respondents expect their employment levels to be unchanged for the remainder of 2014. The 14 industries reporting expectations of growth in employment during the year — listed in order — are: Textile Mills; Furniture & Related Products; Printing & Related Support Activities; Fabricated Metal Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Paper Products; Transportation Equipment; Petroleum & Coal Products; Wood Products; Primary Metals; Machinery; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Chemical Products; and Miscellaneous Manufacturing.
Non-Manufacturing
ISM's Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee respondents forecast that employment will increase 1.4 percent during the balance of 2014. For the remaining months of 2014, 36 percent expect employment to increase 6.7 percent, 12 percent anticipate employment to decrease by 8.2 percent, and 52 percent expect their employment levels to be unchanged. The 10 industries anticipating increases in employment in the remaining months of 2014 — listed in order — are: Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Other Services; Transportation & Warehousing; Management of Companies & Support Services; Finance & Insurance; Retail Trade; Public Administration; Utilities; and Wholesale Trade.
Predicted Change in Overall Employment
| ||||||
Manufacturing
|
Non-Manufacturing
| |||||
Predicted for 2014 Dec 2013
|
Balance of 2014
April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
|
Predicted for 2014 Dec 2013
|
Balance of 2014
April 2014
|
Magnitude of Change
| |
Higher
|
38%
|
38%
|
+6.6%
|
39%
|
36%
|
+6.7%
|
Same
|
48%
|
47%
|
NA
|
48%
|
52%
|
NA
|
Lower
|
14%
|
15%
|
-6.6%
|
13%
|
12%
|
- 8.2%
|
Net Average
|
+1.5%
|
+1.4%
| ||||
Diffusion Index
|
62%
|
61.5%
|
63%
|
62%
|
||
BUSINESS REVENUES
Business Revenues Comparison — 2014 vs. 2013
Manufacturing
Looking ahead, expectations are for increased revenues in 2014 as purchasing and supply management executives indicate an overall net nominal increase of 5.3 percent in business revenues for 2014 over 2013. This is 0.9 percentage point higher than the 4.4 percent increase that was forecast in December 2013 for all of 2014, and 1.9 percentage point higher than the 3.4 percent increase reported for 2013 over 2012. Sixty-eight percent of respondents say that nominal revenues (before adjusting for inflation) for 2014 will increase an average of 9.1 percent over 2013. Conversely, nine percent say their nominal revenues will decrease an average of 9.6 percent, and the remaining 23 percent indicate no change. All 18 manufacturing industries are reporting expectations of growth in revenue during the year — listed in order — are: Textile Mills; Printing & Related Support Activities; Furniture & Related Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Transportation Equipment; Plastics & Rubber Products; Paper Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Chemical Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Primary Metals; Petroleum & Coal Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Wood Products; Machinery; and Apparel, Leather & Allied Products.
Manufacturing Business Revenues
| ||||||
2013 vs. 2012
|
2014 vs. 2013
| |||||
Reported
Dec 2013
|
Nominal
% Change
|
Predicted
Dec 2013
|
Nominal
% Change
|
Predicted
April 2014
|
Nominal
% Change
| |
Higher
|
59%
|
+9.0%
|
69%
|
+8.3%
|
68%
|
+9.1%
|
Same
|
19%
|
NA
|
23%
|
NA
|
23%
|
NA
|
Lower
|
22%
|
-8.7%
|
8%
|
-15.7%
|
9%
|
-9.6%
|
Net Average
|
+3.4%
|
+4.4%
|
+5.3%
| |||
Non-Manufacturing
Non-manufacturing
respondents forecast that business revenues for 2014 will increase 2.7
percent compared to 2013. This is lower than the 3.6 percent increase
predicted in December 2013 for 2014. The
51 percent of respondents forecasting better business in 2014 than in
2013 estimate an average nominal revenue increase of 6.7 percent. This
is in contrast to an average nominal decrease of 9.3 percent forecast by
the 8 percent who predict less business in 2014. The remaining 41
percent see no change in revenues for 2014. The 17 industries expecting
an increase in revenues in 2014 — listed in order — are: Agriculture,
Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Transportation & Warehousing;
Construction; Mining; Wholesale Trade; Retail Trade; Arts, Entertainment
& Recreation; Utilities; Public Administration; Finance &
Insurance; Accommodation & Food Services; Professional, Scientific
& Technical Services; Management of Companies & Support
Services; Information; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Educational
Services; and Other Services.
Non-Manufacturing Business Revenues
| ||||||
2013 vs. 2012
|
2014 vs. 2013
| |||||
Reported
Dec 2013
|
Nominal
% Change
|
Predicted
Dec 2013
|
Nominal
% Change
|
Predicted
April 2014
|
Nominal
% Change
| |
Higher
|
57%
|
+9.3%
|
58%
|
+8.7%
|
51%
|
+6.7
|
Same
|
25%
|
NA
|
32%
|
NA
|
41%
|
NA
|
Lower
|
18%
|
-7.7%
|
10%
|
-13.9%
|
8%
|
-9.3
|
Net Average
|
+4.0%
|
+3.6%
|
+2.7
| |||
SPECIAL QUESTION RELATED TO THE HARSH WINTER IN EARLY 2014
The
harsh winter in the early part of 2014 impacted many businesses. We
asked the panels to tell us whether or not there was an impact on their
particular businesses, and if so, whether those impacts were short-term
(to be made up in the balance of 2014), or long-term (impact having a
lasting effect on the whole year).
Manufacturing
We asked the manufacturing panel to comment on the potential impact the harsh winter weather had on New Orders, Production and Employment. When asked about New Orders, 51.3 percent of respondents indicated no impact, 34.2 percent indicated that the impact was short-term, 6 percent indicated that the impact was long-term, and 8.5 percent were unsure of the extent of the impact. For Production, 52.8 percent of respondents indicated no impact, 34.2 percent indicated that the impact was short-term, 7.5 percent indicated that the impact was long-term, and 5.5 percent were unsure of the extent of the impact. Finally, for Employment, 78.5 percent of respondents indicated no impact, 12.5 percent indicated that the impact was short-term, 3 percent indicated that the impact was long-term, and 6 percent were unsure of the extent of the impact.
Non-Manufacturing
We asked the panel to comment on the potential impact the harsh weather had on New Orders, Business Activity and Employment. When asked about New Orders, 58 percent of respondents indicated no impact, 26.4 percent indicated that the impact was short-term, 6.3 percent indicated that the impact was long-term, and 9.2 percent were unsure of the extent of the impact. For Business Activity, 57.1 percent of respondents indicated no impact, 32.6 percent indicated that the impact was short-term, 5.7 percent indicated that the impact was long-term, and 4.6 percent were unsure of the extent of the impact. Finally, for Employment, 81.7 percent of respondents indicated no impact, 9.7 percent indicated that the impact was short-term, 2.3 percent indicated that the impact was long-term, and 6.3 percent were unsure of the extent of the impact.
SUMMARY
Manufacturing
- Operating rate is currently 82.3 percent of normal capacity.
- Production capacity is expected to increase 4.8 percent in 2014.
- Capital expenditures are expected to increase 10.3 percent in 2014.
- Prices paid increased 1.3 percent through the end of April 2014.
- Prices are expected to increase a total of 1.5 percent for all of 2014, indicating an expected increase in prices of 0.2 percent for the remainder of the year.
- Manufacturing employment is expected to increase 1.5 percent during the remainder of 2014.
- Manufacturing revenues are expected to increase 5.3 percent in 2014.
- Overall, manufacturing is expected to maintain a positive growth trend in 2014.
Non-Manufacturing
- Operating rate is currently 86.3 percent of normal capacity.
- Production capacity is expected to increase 3.1 percent in 2014.
- Capital expenditures are expected to increase 10.8 percent in 2014.
- Prices paid increased 1.6 percent through the end of April 2014.
- Prices are expected to increase an additional 0.6 percent over the remainder of the year, for a total 2014 increase of 2.2 percent.
- Non-manufacturing employment is expected to increase 1.4 percent during the balance of 2014.
- Non-manufacturing revenues are expected to increase 2.7 percent in 2014.
- The non-manufacturing sector is projected to have steady incremental growth in 2014.
*Miscellaneous Manufacturing items include products such as Medical Equipment and Supplies, Jewelry, Sporting Goods, Toys and Office Supplies.
**Other Services include:
Equipment & Machinery Repairing; Promoting or Administering
Religious Activities; Grantmaking; Advocacy; and Providing Dry-Cleaning
& Laundry Services, Personal Care Services, Death Care Services, Pet
Care Services, Photofinishing Services, Temporary Parking Services, and
Dating Services.
In addition to the forecast, the Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® is
issued monthly on the first business day of each month and is
considered by many economists to be the most reliable near-term economic
barometer available. It is reviewed regularly by top government
agencies and economic business leaders. The report, compiled from
responses to questions asked of approximately 350 purchasing and supply
executives across the country, tracks industrial production, new orders,
inventories, supplier deliveries, employment, buying policies and
prices. Manufacturing Business Survey Committee responses are divided
into the following NAICS code categories: Food, Beverage & Tobacco
Products; Textile Mills; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Wood
Products; Paper Products; Printing & Related Support Activities;
Petroleum & Coal Products; Chemical Products; Plastics & Rubber
Products; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Primary Metals; Fabricated Metal
Products; Machinery; Computer & Electronic Products; Electrical
Equipment, Appliances & Components; Transportation Equipment;
Furniture & Related Products; and Miscellaneous Manufacturing*. The
report has been issued by the association since 1931, except during
World War II.
Covering the non-manufacturing sector, ISM® debuted the Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® in June 1998. The Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® is
released on the third business day of each month, and is based on data
received from purchasing and supply executives from 18 different
non-manufacturing industries across the country.
The Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®
is diversified by NAICS, based on each industry's contribution to gross
domestic product (GDP). The Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee
responses are divided into the following NAICS code categories:
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Mining; Utilities;
Construction; Wholesale Trade; Retail Trade; Transportation &
Warehousing; Information; Finance & Insurance; Real Estate, Rental
& Leasing; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services;
Management of Companies & Support Services; Educational Services;
Health Care & Social Assistance; Arts, Entertainment &
Recreation; Accommodation & Food Services; Other Services**; and
Public Administration. The report covers business activity, new orders,
backlog of orders, new export orders, inventory change, inventory
sentiment, imports, prices, employment, and supplier deliveries.
The Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® is published monthly by the Institute for Supply Management®, the first supply institute in the world. Founded in 1915, ISM®
exists to lead and serve the supply management profession and is a
highly influential and respected association in the global marketplace.
ISM®'s mission is to enhance the value and performance of
procurement and supply chain management practitioners and their
organizations worldwide.
The full text version of the reports is posted on ISM®'s Home Page at www.ism.ws on the first and third business day of every month after 10:10 a.m. (ET).
The May Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® featuring the May 2014 data will be released at 10:00 a.m. (ET) on Monday, June 2, 2014.
The May Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® featuring the May 2014 data will be released at 10:00 a.m. (ET) on Wednesday, June 4, 2014.
Contact:
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Kristina M. Cahill
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Report On Business® Analyst
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ISM®, ROB Media Relations
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Tempe, Arizona
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(800) 888-6276, ext. 3015
| |
email: kcahill@ism.ws
|

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